LOS ANGELES Sophomore second baseman Duce Gourson went 3-4 with a homer and a pair of RBIs to lead No. Im deeply sorry that he cracked 50% as a known fucking cheater, because his statistical case is so unambiguous from both a traditional and SABR perspective. Active Batting Batting Career Leaders & Records for Strikeouts POWERED BY Create your own custom leaderboards Become a Stathead today and run queries with our In 1929, 80% of all qualified hitters had higher walk rates. As it stands now, no way, but, the dicussion is interesting. This isnt entirely new. Thats an incredible drop. So lets preview some of their key players from the KBO, a league that we watch intently here at Sports Info Solutions: Team Korea has two young left-handed hitters who will line up in the middle of the order for the WBC. Shippensburg (9-4) notched 12 hits across two games while the Raider pitching staff totaled 16 strikeouts and just three walks. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Please logout and login again. Charleston RiverDogs (Rays A), 82-38, .683 3. Gerrit Cole leads the list, with Corbin Burnes, Jacob DeGrom, and Carlos Rodon closely following the Yankees ace. Im sure if I took time to think it through, I would just come up with more questions. 0.9 percent. WebMLB News Max Scherzer after balk: Umps 'need to figure out' pitch clock limits Max Scherzer has theorized that baseball's new pitch clock will allow pitchers to dictate the Ohtani would have won the AL MVP Award for a second straight year if it weren't for Aaron Judge's historic season, which was his best season as a pitcher. Join our linker program. The Twins, another club linked to the first baseman this offseason, recently came to terms with Donovan Solano. Through the power of anonymous downvoting and ad hom meltdowns, you truly stand tall against the myriad bullies who disagree with your pre-existing assumptions, and then provide the datapoints resulting in that disagreement. The result has always been a high contact rate but an equally low walk rate. The big takeaway is that finishing the season with a higher walk rate is incredibly rare in the current environment. We genuinely cant know how the embargo impacted Abreus careerbut Im certainly more inclined to use the Davenport numbers as a proxy than to throw a hissyfit at the suggestion that this hypothetical prime might have exceeded the performance of historically notable late bloomer at the same age. So, conservatively, he would be Freddie Freeman, except for the whole thing where Freeman has been much better from age 27 onward. I should add that the only reason he ranks just behind McGriff is because McGriffs age 27 season was in 1991 so wasnt captured here. Prielipp never got his chance to prove himself against SEC competition, but if his debut is any indication, hell be able to hold his own. The possibility of losing the MVP seemingly has to outweigh any additional WAR from a resume standpoint. His command will help his stuff play up, but with a fastball that can touch the mid 90s as its best and a good slider, the stuff is plenty good as it is. HR. Gurriel has had an excellent big league career, and one that could have been all the more impressive had he made his way to the majors sooner. The fact is he came to the US and performed as a thoroughly average player, with stints of being above and well below average in between. Moreover, since Gurriel rarely whiffs, he ended up making a ton of contact on pitches outside the strike zone. Yet since moving stateside, Gurriel has worn just one uniform, and it still seems strange to think of him wearing any colors other than blue, orange, and white. Batting Average Allowed Justin Verlander. The only HOFer I saw that was behind him was Orlando Cepeda. Given theprevalenceof such hitters in previous eras, the leader board for this metric is a little skewed. With strikeouts becoming soprevalent and walk rates essentially fluctuating between 8-10% each year, its very hard for a player (particularly a good one who typically displays quite a bit of power) to end the season with more walks than strikeouts. Gourson drove in the first two runs of the game for UCLA (8-2), wiping If we have a good faith basis to believe that Yuli Gurriel and Jos Abreu didnt suddenly become awesome baseball players the minute they were able to play in the US, why should the performances that pre-date their debuts here be summarily ignored when bestowing baseballs highest honor? Yuli Gurriel has played professional baseball around the world, suiting up in Cuba and Japan before making his way to MLB. He could take a spot on the bench, displacing David Hensley, but Gurriel would likely prefer more guaranteed playing time and the Astros might prefer to see what Hensley has to offer. Also since 1992, Abreu ranks 21st in WAR among first baseman for ages 27-35, just behind Fred McGriff. Then, in 2021, Gurriel made a notable effort to improve his plate discipline without sacrificing contact. If it is just that he got to the states just as his peak was ending, then we are talking about a likely 1st ballot kind of guy. WebTriples When a batter reaches on a hit and stops at third base or only advances farther than third base on an error or a fielder's attempt to put out another baserunner. Some defensive statistics Copyright Sports Info Solutions, 2010-2023. I also wouldnt limit the comparisons solely to first basemen. WebCaden McKinion College Leagues Statistics including batting, fielding, prospect rankings and more on Baseball-Reference.com , 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting , 2022 MLB Pitching, Career WAR Leaders, Single-Season Home Run Leaders, Active Strikeout Leaders, Upcoming Player Milestones, MLB Scores. what was the level of competiton? 12 UCLA past Sacramento State, 3-2, on Saturday afternoon at Jackie Robinson Stadium as part of the 2023 Southern California College Baseball Classic. Thus, if Gurriel wants to get back on the field, a minor league contract might be his best bet. This year, the Pirates will team up with the Pitt Community College and Clemson baseball programs to help fight and strikeout ALS with a goal of raising $10,000. In his free time, he writes for The Hardball Times, speaks about baseball research and analytics, has consulted for a Major League Baseball team, and has appeared on MLB Network's Clubhouse Confidential as well as several MLB-produced documentaries. WebWillie Stargell is number five on the all time career strikeout list, but he never broke into the top eighty (80) on the single season leaders for strikeouts; by comparison, Jose Hernandez already appears two (2) times in the top twenty and is well on his way to becoming one of the big leaders (#69 all-time already [up from #82 in 2004]). He requested his release two years into the contract to return to the KBO. Copyright 2023 Baseball America Enterprises. On the other hand, due to injury, he has only pitched in three games since the end of that season. A Freeman comp is an impressively backwards response. Hoglund came into college baseball with a reputation as an elite strike thrower, but after an up-and-down freshman season, he really came into his own in terms of missing bats last season, when he struck out 37 in 23.1 innings. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, McCullers stepped into the role of staff ace for Houston in 2021, going 13-5 with a 3.16 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 185 strikeouts over a career-high 162.1 innings. The core premise of Abreus HoF case is, as stated above: What if Abreu had a crazy peak from 21-27, and 6 of those years came while he couldnt play in the MLB.. Lee ranked fourth in the KBO last season with an average exit velocity of 89 MPH according to our Synthetic Statcast model (SIS replicates Statcast data for non-MLB leagues), and he also finished in the top 10 in hard-hit rate (38%) and expected BABIP (.388). Rodon trails only two pitchers who haven't yet appeared on this list in terms of WAR among all pitchers. Bowling Green Hot Rods (Rays A+) 82-36, .695 2. He is only 7 hits away from reaching 2,000 career KBO hits, and is 38 home runs behind Seung-yeop Lee in all-time KBO home runs. Team Korea has two young left-handed hitters who will line up in the middle of the order for the WBC. With Jos Abreu at first base and Michael Brantley as the DH, there isnt room for Gurriel in Houstons starting lineup. With so many of last years top strikeout pitchers now in pro ball, the leaderboard is sure to look different in 2021. Give him 4-5 more years from age 21-26 & yeah, I can see it..IF he had played in MLB. His supporters think that during the three year run where he hit 98 bombs in 232 games (A 68.4/162 pace) while batting .412 BA with a .561 OBP, he was probably closer to his age-27 form (.313/.383/.581, after a yearlong layoff following his defection) than the .289/.375/.472 line Freeman put up at the same ages. Among post 1947 1B with 3,000+ PA from age 33 on, he is 21st of 33 qualifiers in fWAR. He led the AL with a 0.87 walk-to-strikeout ratio, and his .383 OBP was second only to Vladimir Guerrero Jr.s. Beyond the MLB players and potential future stars, Team Korea has some veteran players rounding out the lineup from the KBO. Despite increasing his average launch angle in 2022, he set a new career low with only 6 home runs and a .371 SLG over 62 games. What is particularly impressive about Mantiply, though, is that literally every After turning in an outstanding freshman season in 2019, Boone appeared to take a step forward in 2020, striking out 13.08 batters per nine innings after punching out 8.89 per nine innings as a freshman. Even if you mark him down for 20 bWAR in those lost years, hed be sitting on 52 bWAR now. He still possesses elite contact skills, but those skills are far less valuable when hes swinging at worse pitches and hitting without thump. He swung less often, particularly at pitches outside the strike zone. You know who does? Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. Its not too late to win your mothers love. Bats: Unknown What was the offensive environment? The first is Jung-hoo Lee, a 24-year-old outfielder for the Kiwoom Heroes. Helps me be friendly and charming in real life! Expect him to be replaced with a defensive replacement or pinch runner in the WBC. A big test for this position player group in pool play will be how they manage to do against the powerful pitching staff of Team Japan. GAME 1: Northwestern 10, Follow him on Twitter @BillPetti. He has put up 10 WAR in 7 seasons. On the infield, Hye-seong Kim of Kiwoom has won two KBO Fielding Bible Awards at second base (2020 and 2022), as well as the 2020 multi-position Fielding Bible Award. I agree that theres no HoF case here, but I think there may well have been had he played in MLB from an early age (with access to the requisite training etc. Do you have a blog? His time in the U.S., only measured against players the same age, suggests hes not a hall of famer. His Davenport translations were eye-popping for about his last 4 years there. 1. Many thanks to him. and he had a .964 OPS in his first season over. These are his career numbers compared to the AL average since he entered the league: Gurriel has never been a major home run threat, but hes always had just enough pop that his other skills were sufficient to compensate. The other is that he was making strides as the 2020 season came to an end, with his best start being his last. 1. In your world 31.2 is more than double 21.9. Na also dealt with a gruesome injury in 2019, and his mobility has suffered since returning. He has walked more than he has struck out in four of the last five seasons, while posting his best power numbers during that time as well. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. He only has 1 season over 5 fWAR and unlike Gurriel he played his traditional peak years in MLB. Like, youre Leos character in Shutter Island-level deluded. Matchup History. If it could be shown that a player really was likely one of the very best, based on how they played in the US compared to players only looking at the same ages, I think that should be a factor in HOF close calls. It's an excellent strikeout pitch and batters hit just .213 against it. It would be more of a McGriff-like case than a Pujols-like case, but its worth considering, I think. Ultimately we will never know the answer, but it is fun to speculate. These are the top control artists in MLB; four starters and six relievers that win with accuracy. Its easy to point to Gurriels 2021 season and identify the 38-year-old as a prime bounce-back candidate. To me, Abreus case looks very strong, as he racked up 433 HR despite many of his prime seasons in Cuba lasting only 90 games. 1. Using a similar methodology to my TTO article a few weeks back, I plotted the percent of qualified hitters in each season with BB% greater than their K% (white bars above). Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. In 1929, 80% of all qualified hitters had higher walk rates. 1. He was starting to put things together in 2019 with 58 strikeouts in 48.1 innings when he went down with injury, and hell look to pick that up in 2021. Na has big power, and in 2021 he finished in the top 5 in average exit velocity and hard hit rate in the KBO. It makes sense when a batter hits bad pitches, hes more likely to make bad contact. Because of an injury in 2019 and the season cancellation in 2020, Hill has thrown just 21.2 innings over two seasons at LSU, but he has struck out 28 in those innings. Ever wonder who had the most strikeouts the year you were born? Just a real lack of context. Ohtani's greatest accomplishments for the Angels in 2022 came on the mound, a year after he hit 46 home runs. He has not done anything to suggest that we actually did miss one of the great hitters of all time because he was stuck in Cuba. And if he actually looked like a hall of famer while in the U.S. compared to other players his same age, this would be a compelling last hurdle or feather in cap to put him over the top. Once out of pool play, the pitching it faces is expected to be much tougher, and their hitters ability to adjust to high-end pitchers will determine how far the team goes. He came back down to earth a bit subsequently, but with what we know about hitters aging curves peaking at 25-26, he mightve missed out on 2 or more comparable-or-better years. While watching the Mets pound on the Cubs yesterday, I noticed that David Wright still has a walk rate (BB%) higher than his strikeout rate (K%). Narrator: TKDC continued whining, while offering no defense to claims like I think Javier Vazquez was better than Cole Hamels, regardless of how much data indicates that pitchers DO impact batted ball outcomes!!!!!. About what Abreu will deserve unless he ages like Barry Bonds. On one hand, hes one of the more accomplished pitchers here, having pitched Oregon State to a national title in 2018. Had 4.2 rWAR last year & is signed for 3 more years. Last season Lee did his best Tony Gwynn impression, posting a tiny 5% strikeout rate with an 11% walk rate. Overall Batting Stats; Index Team AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB SLG% BB HBP SO GDP OB% SF SH SB-ATT PO A E FLD% Texas Tech.333: 11: 375: 123: 125: 33: 6: 16: 118: 218 Game Team High Strikeouts; Strikeouts Total; Oklahoma State vs LMU (2/25/2023) 16: With Emerson Hancock and Cole Wilcox gone from the Georgia pitching staff, Cannon will have his chance to shine in 2021. What Ivan is alluding to is that if Yuli had been able to get out and join an MLB roster in his 20s, he probably would have had a case for the HoF. Thrust into the rotation right away as a freshman, he responded by striking out 35 in 21 innings. That said, a high strikeout rate is sustainable for a pitcher with Lonsways stuff, which includes a fastball that reaches the mid 90s and three secondary offerings. Baseball Almanac is pleased to present a year-by-year leaderboard in Major League strikeouts for every season since 1876. Find out more. Abreus HoF case rests on the assumption that he ISNT a massive outlier like Freddie Freeman, and his ability followed normal aging curves rather than becoming a completely different hitter and player at age 26. Hes between now-36 Brandon Crawford (49th) and Randy Winn (51st). Gurriels Baseball Savant page provides a good preliminary explanation of what went wrong. March 1, 2023. Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. Minnesotas Max Meyer and Texas A&Ms Asa Lacy both finished in the top five in the nation in strikeouts and then were also selected in the top five picks. The righthander might have had the best abbreviated season of anyone in 2020, as he put up a 0.32 ERA and .128 opponent batting average with 47 strikeouts and only three walks in 28 innings. Past that, if youre a person who DOES want to just play the conversion game straight up and then treat his pre-age-27 accomplishments as equivalent for HOF purposes, I believe a statement that him earning 20 WAR would be a conservative estimate is belied by how few first baseman have done that.