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But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. Ben Griffin ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Scheffler will be rusty coming in and only finished 45th in the one event he has played in the last nine weeks. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. His perception has been buoyed by two straight third-place finishes at the Sony Open and American Express. Set a budget. Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. Bay Hill will challenge golfers from tee to green and demand precision on and around the greens. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. Each lineup consists of four starters and two Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our experts love this sneaky good iron player at PGA National, Joseph Bramlett ($7,500 DraftKings | $9,300 FanDuel). World No. Learn the game and know the odds. He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Hes been competitive in the toughest fields of the year and will now get to battle a much weaker composition of his peers. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. Six straight made cuts for the Belgian, including four finishes of 12th or better. Recent form, plus some strong vibes at El Camaleon, have me leaning with him over the Bermuda champ. Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. The Honda Classic is the first stop, and although. Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). Griffin rebounded from an MC at Pebble Beach by finishing T-21 last week in Florida. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official elevated status and a $20 million purse. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hes getting by with the putter, and thats likely not enough this week against a top-heavy field. Now he gets to battle a much weaker field, where he should be able to separate himself more frequently. Birdie percentage: Birdies are king this week. Jon Rahm +700Rory McIlroy +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Max Homa +1900Collin Morikawa +2100Justin Thomas +2300Xander Schauffele +2400Will Zalatoris +2400Tony Finau +2800Patrick Cantlay +2800Jason Day +3100Viktor Hovland +3100Tyrrell Hatton +3600Matthew Fitzpatrick +3600Sungjae Im +4100Jordan Spieth +4100Cameron Young +4600Sam Burns +4800Tom Kim +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Hideki Matsuyama +5500Keith Mitchell +5500Chris Kirk +6500Shane Lowry +6500Corey Conners +7000Tommy Fleetwood +7000Keegan Bradley +7500Adam Scott +8500Billy Horschel +8500Rickie Fowler +8500Justin Rose +9000Adam Hadwin +9000Seamus Power +9000Gary Woodland +9000Min Woo Lee +11000Luke List +11000Taylor Montgomery +11000Tom Hoge +12000Wyndham Clark +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Aaron Wise +12000Alex Noren +12000Ryan Fox +13000Si Woo Kim +13000Lucas Herbert +14000Nick Taylor +14000Adrian Meronk +15000Thomas Detry +16000Russell Henley +16000Brian Harman +17000Beau Hossler +17000Sepp Straka +18000K.H. The putting woes continued for Spieth, who lost three strokes to the field in just two rounds at Riviera before missing the cut. Trinity Forest Golf Club, 3. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. Parlay Calculator, Copyright USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire 2023. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Morikawa is going to contend often this season with this stat profile. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. He has two top-five finishes in his past four trips to this event. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. He finished his Korn Ferry Tour season with a win, a third and T-10 all within his last seven starts. Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! On this page, youll find all the golf DFS Content you need for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo, SuperDraft and FantasyDraft including: The First Cut: A comprehensive preview of the week to come, including a course breakdown, DFS slate breakdown, field breakdown, and so much more. Palmer was able to grab World No. Gehman: Zecheng Dou (180-1, DraftKings) Dou just posted his best finish of the season, a T-17 in Bermuda last week. All Rights Reserved. Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. Kapalua Plantation Course 4. Matchup Results from the Bermuda Championship: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Rodgers (-125) over S.H. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Bethpage State Park Golf Course 6. A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Released Wednesday. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Xander Schauffele Betting Odds Remain for Tournament of Champions Despite WD Reports. Must be nice. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Heading into this week's tournament, the 35-year-old ranks first on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.957), 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.307), 21st in strokes gained on approach (0.677), and 26th in strokes gained putting (0.650). Mayo won the 2020 FSWA Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award in 2020. and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. Welcome to the PGA DFS Page for Stokastic, home to the worlds No. Kevin Yu ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel) Andy Lyons No matter the finishing position, you can 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions First Round Leader Picks: Aaron Wise Off to a Hot Start? Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Bezuidenhout is one of the few players in the field who teed it up at the Honda Classic last week, finishing T-42. Hes gained 10-plus strokes to the field five times during that run, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 The American Express field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Mayo: Adam Long (-110) over J.J. Spaun (DraftKings) Long hasnt had much juice recently but he is the prototype for a solid result at Mayakoba. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. The only thing worrisome about this play is he hasnt truly contended on the PGA Tour yet, even last week after he grabbed a share of the first round lead. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. 2023 Sony Open First Round Leader Picks: Can J.T. Reunion Resort & Golf Club 7. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. (Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images). Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. As Joel Beall of Golf Digest noted, the video compilation show Worlds Funniest Animals also aired on Saturday drew more viewers than LIV Golf did. Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Lee (DraftKings) There are exciting things happening with Days game right now, primarily his significant improvement on approach shots. There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Preview: Can Viktor Hovland Put It All Together? CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts. His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. (Subscribe for video or audio.) Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Gehman: Jason Day (-120) over K.H. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. RELATED:LIV Golf loses ratings battle to Worlds Funniest Animals? His ball-striking is elite on this circuit, but hes not reliant on that aspect of his game. Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. The 2023 Genesis Invitational. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. Keep it social. He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. (Photo: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports). His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. He also ranked second in birdie average (4.6 per round) and fourth in scoring average (69.3). Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. After a dreadful few years, Tway is playing some of his best golf in recent memorymaking six of his last eight cuts. He added another 2.10 around-the-green and still lost 1.16 strokes from tee-to-green. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. Another team with great chemistry. This event used to be one of, (Editors Note: Alex Noren withdrew from the Honda Classic after publication) The Honda Classic is a full-field event that features a 144-man starting list and, Were back with another edition of PGA DraftKings picks cheat sheets for the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Powers, Golf Digest: Austin Smotherman (200-1, BetMGM) Short knockers who can pure their irons usually fare well here, and thats exactly what Smotherman is. Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. He held the lead for much of the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-4, before consecutive T-20 finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles. Were back with another edition of PGA Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Poston. It just doesnt need to. Like golf? 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Preview: Can Sungjae Im Bounce Back as Top Stud of the Field? His game looks close, finishing T-5 at the Zozo Championship and T-21 at the CJ Cup in his only two PGA Tour starts this season. Torrey Pines South 5. Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Rileys constant is as a stripe show on approach, so our speculation relies on a hot putter to disrupt. And which massive long shot has a chance to stun the golfing world? Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. Get Golf picks McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts.